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England:
I expect they'll do Eng-Nth, and convoy the LVP army into the France region somehow. Eng-Nth is a nice protection against a German backstab, unfortunately (really, it's hard if they do Eng-Nth to get anything but Brest and Sweden this year off of England, and Brest is probably safe. If Germany switches, then Sweden is dead period.
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No word from Germany, so it looks like we're going to go after them. It's what Austria wants, and I think ignoring an oppositional Germany is a bad choice; Germany switching sides would be fine, but they probably don't trust to set them up later with Austria's help.
Our moves:
A Lvn - Mos (Rego wants to ensure that we can support StP in the fall if Swe-Fin or Swe-Nor happens this turn; F Kie can move into Bla and cut Lvn from supporting StP)
A War S Rum-Gal and Rum-Gal (Austria wants Rum; there's some risk that they could do A Bul-Rum and Rum-Sev to screw us over completely, but that sets them up for a 2v1 as E and G take us and France apart, while Italy dawdles. Bud-Rum is assumed; Vie will support Boh, presumably to hold)
F Bla - Con, A Ank S Bla-Con (With A Bul S Bla-Con, that gives us 2 supports for a guaranteed dislodge. Since Smy can't move into Ank, Amelia can't do Con-Ank with any support)
F Stp H
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So now Gre cuts support of Aeg while our army moves into Smy I take it?
It looks like Italy is finally getting some help from E/G, so the next question is, are they still going to sit tight in eastern italy once the iberian peninsula is done with? Or is that move to apu intended to support a move against tri?
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Cyneheard Wrote:Bud-Rum is assumed
Is this a stab by Lewwyn, or an arranged handover?
EitB 25 - Perpentach
Occasional mapmaker
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Looks arranged by Cyneheard's post, presumably in exchange for support in Turkey.
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Well, I did a poor job of requiring more support, b/c we needed Gre-Aeg to lock down the second build. But, yes, Bud-Rum was expected.
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For the Turkish front:
(Austria) Gre-Aeg, Bul S Con (so that we can't be dislodged) (Us) Con S Ank-Smy, Ank-Smy
Possible Turkish moves:
Aeg S Smy Holds fails, because Aeg is cut.
Aeg - Con (presumably Smy S Aeg-Con, which is cut and Bul S Con is plenty of backup) blocks us from taking Smy
Smy - Con doesn't succeed, because Gre-Aeg cuts that support, and we end up taking Smy.
Therefore, I expect to see Aeg-Con this fall.
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Ok now THAT is looking like a stab by A. There's no good reason for them to want Sev otherwise. Which looks like it's handing G the game at this point.
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Ok, I'm confused by how Austria stabbed us:
Bul-Rum and Rum-Sev was meant to pick up an SC...but then why did they order Gre-Aeg? That saved Con for us, which meant we don't lose any troops.
Also, nice work Germany, hitting Sweden and Brest from England.
England: -1 (Disband F Fin? There's too many Germans and Russians around to allow for that fleet to do much good)
Germany: +2 (F Kie, A Ber?)
Italy: +2 (F Nap, A Rom?)
France: -3, Dead.
Austria: +1, likely F Tri or A Vie.
Turkey: -1, Disband F Aeg
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Zed-F Wrote:Ok now THAT is looking like a stab by A. There's no good reason for them to want Sev otherwise. Which looks like it's handing G the game at this point.
Yeah, Germany's in good shape. That stab of England was effective. They're already halfway to 18 SC, and in a very good defensive position.
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