HidingKneel finally invaded...just after I convinced myself he was staying home
That's...basically the same army he used to kick me out of his land. Most notably - no mages!
It turns out I was overconfident in the power of the catapult, though. I was able to wound every unit in his stack...by 10 or 20%
. It was enough to let me strip off the top three javelin throwers, but I fully expect to lose Weselton next turn. I managed to pile in enough bloodpets and redlined catapults that he'll basically have to use his entire stack to do it, though - including probably all his own catapults.
I offered him peace for Weselton and Forever, but I don't really expect him to accept. The more relevant fact is that I pulled back every Moroi from the elven front, barring one who needs to lose Burning Blood and the three holding my new cities. The first ones should arrive in the vicinity of Ghost next turn, and the last in three turns. That will likely be enough to counterattack, depending on the RNG next turn.
On the other hand, I'm still pretty confident in the long term prognosis. He should have hit me 10 turns ago; now I can completely abandon the elf front without worrying too much.
I think I can confine him to just Weselton and Forever, and I'm still ~150 hpt to the rest of the world's 60. I just need to kill this army without losing too much land, and he won't be able to replace it, while I can definitely replace mine. I'm not quite in emergency mode - I left two vampires in queues, even though they'll only finish in 7 and 10 turns. IF he accepts peace, I'll be swapping every single queue to vampires - but if he doesn't, I still think I can achieve reasonable attrition with Moroi.
Ah well. Still likely to be another week before I see the next save, which is plenty of time for second-guessing and so on