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Are you, in fact, a pregnant lady who lives in the apartment next door to Superdeath's parents? - Commodore |
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Werewolf 12: Game Thread
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Well, tbh, I am not so sure that novice is really the last wolf. And I don't like the logic applied to show his guilt either. Not to say he isn't a wolf, but that the way it is presented only works because mostly everyone was sure of his guilt anyway.
If he is not the last wolf, what then? We lynch Sareln? Really? What's the chance of us instead coming to the conclusion that it would be bad to kill our jailer (forgetting that he has no charges left) or him explaining to us that he must have been wrong and the wolves simply didn't nightkill? And what if we lynch him and he was the jailer and novice was the standby and the wolves simply didn't kill last night because they expected this move by Sareln (not that hard to guess tbh)? Then we lose 4 villagers and still don't know who the wolf is. What then? Lynch Tasunke? Catwalk? Molach? I don't like this. But I won't stand against what all others want. Except for that I first want the same clarification novice asked for. Then I will vote.
Don't really know what you want Serdoa. That's how the game is played... We lynch the one who is most suspicious and if they aren't a wolf we reevaluate and lynch the next one. And if I'm reading right you aren't even saying that you believe novice is innocent, just that there are more than 3 wolves per pack.
I mean... what do you want dude. A big flashing sign above every wolf's head?
“The wind went mute and the trees in the forest stood still. It was time for the last tale.”
I'll answer, Serdoa.
"If he [novice] is not the last wolf, what then?" Well if he is a wolf it is good to lynch him, last or not. If he is innocent, that's just too bad, but the way I see it, after tonights actions, likelyhood of wolves now are novice > tasunke > sareln. So lynching in that order will be our quickest way to end the game. Some might think I'm ahead of Sareln, so we can argue about that if we get there. But I think we won't. And no nightkill tonight is a very strong indication towards 15-3-3. In addition to all the other tomes I've written on the subject, I fail to see how any pack of 2 wolves would not kill tonight. White pack: They should probably not have sent prime suspect while the jailor is around, but they would still have made a kill tonight, even sacrificing novice, because he was surely going down soon anyway and they needed to eliminate villagers. Black pack: Would gladly kill tonight, and we have good reason to think it was their turn anyway. I do not think they would have targeted a liar either, chance of hitting bulletproof, or blessed villager to high. Nothing could have saved primo villager Gaspar anyway, since there was no redirector. So yes, there is one wolf. And we can spare 3 mislynches.
The day will only end early if there is only one werewolf remaining and he surrenders, as the rules clearly state.
Civilization IV: 21 (Bismarck of Mali), 29 (Mao Zedong of Babylon), 38 (Isabella of China), 45 (Victoria of Sumeria), PB12 (Darius of Sumeria), 56 (Hammurabi of Sumeria), PB16 (Bismarck of Mali), 78 (Augustus of Byzantium), PB56 (Willem of China)
Hearthstone: ArenaDrafts Profile No longer playing Hearthstone. 
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