I'm through the NS7's thread and the Lurker thread. Seven, very nice diplo work! It certainly played its role in my choice of the Cataphract target, even if Nicolae and Lewwyn weren't so impressed
I see the general opinion is that I should've attacked NS7. So you really think that,
with the information I had at the time, it was the better decision?
* I played the opening poorly, and had to heavily invest in late expansion/land development. At the time prior to the attack, I don't have any spare units for scouting
* I don't have much information about how NS7's war with Mackoti is going. There are no messages about cities being captured, and the power of both opponents keeps growing, so I can assume it's a stand-off with huge armies on both sides
* I don't know whether NS7 can spare units to defend our attack and counter-attack into our land, but I do know that they have a very scary force. And Galleons, against which we have no defence
* Possible outcomes of our attack on NS7: a) NS7 defend, then counter-attack and capture our core cities, or even outright kill us; b) Both we and Mackoti make gains, NS7 survive, we have to live with a very strong neighbour who can draft and build powerful navy and is furious with us; c) Both we and Mackoti make gains, NS7 die, we have a new runaway in Mackoti
* Sian has power comparable to us, but we have stronger units. Probable outcome of the attack is that we end up with twice the territory we had, and have a powerful but friendly neighbour who is hindered by a war with another powerful empire
Basically an attack on NS7 may or may not help us to stop NS7, but our own chances of winning don't improve. An attack on Sian is better from the point of view of improving our chances, not from the point of view of stopping NS7
I'm not saying that all decisions I made in this game were good ones. They weren't. But I strongly believe that attack on Sian rather than on NS7 was the right one